地方债周报：中短期地方债二级利差收窄-20250922

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report focuses on the primary and secondary market conditions of local government bonds in the week of September 22, 2025, including net financing, issuance terms, issuance spreads, and trading volume. It also provides an outlook on the issuance plan for the third and fourth quarters of 2025 [1][5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Primary Market Conditions - Net Financing: This week, local government bonds issued a total of 188.5 billion yuan, with a net financing of 30.9 billion yuan. The issuance of new general bonds was 20.7 billion yuan, new special bonds 97.8 billion yuan, refinancing general bonds 23.9 billion yuan, and refinancing special bonds 46.1 billion yuan [1]. - Issuance Terms: The 10 - year local government bonds had the highest issuance proportion (25%), and the issuance proportion of bonds with a term of 10 years and above was 77%, an increase from last week. The issuance proportion of 15 - year bonds increased by about 13 percentage points, while that of 30 - year bonds decreased by about 18 percentage points [1]. - Debt - Resolution - Related Local Government Bonds: This week, special refinancing bonds worth 21.4 billion yuan were issued. In 2025, 33 regions have disclosed plans to issue special bonds for replacing implicit debt, totaling 1,995.7 billion yuan [2]. - Issuance Spreads: The weighted average issuance spread of local government bonds this week was 22bp, narrowing compared to last week. The weighted average issuance spread of 15 - year local government bonds was the highest, reaching 25.0bp [2]. - Fund - Raising Allocations: As of the end of this week, the main areas of new special bond fund - raising in 2025 were cold - chain logistics, municipal and industrial park infrastructure construction (29%), transportation infrastructure (18%), land reserves (14%), affordable housing projects (12%), and social undertakings (12%). The proportion of land reserves increased by 14.1% compared to 2024, while that of cold - chain logistics, municipal and industrial park infrastructure construction decreased by 7.6% [2]. - Issuance Plan: As of the end of this week, 35 regions have disclosed their local government bond issuance plans for the third quarter of 2025, with a total expected issuance of 2.9 trillion yuan. Some regions have also disclosed their fourth - quarter issuance plans, totaling 566.6 billion yuan, with 388.2 billion yuan scheduled for October [3]. 3.2 Secondary Market Conditions - Secondary Spreads: This week, the secondary spreads of 5 - year and 10 - year local government bonds were relatively high, at 13.8bp and 13.1bp respectively. The secondary spreads of 20 - year and 30 - year local government bonds widened. Regionally, the secondary spreads of 3 - 5 - year local government bonds in each region were relatively high, all above 14bp [5]. - Trading Volume: This week, both the trading volume and turnover rate of local government bonds increased compared to last week. Hunan had the highest turnover rate, reaching 2.5%. The trading volumes of Hunan, Jiangsu, and Guangdong were relatively large, at 60.6 billion yuan, 54.3 billion yuan, and 47.1 billion yuan respectively [5].