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宁夏调高现货电上限,北方调峰资源或不足
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-22 09:43

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating a potential increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [9]. Core Insights - The adjustment of the spot electricity price cap in Ningxia from 0.56 yuan/kWh to 0.8 yuan/kWh highlights the ongoing shortage of regulating power sources, suggesting a positive outlook for regulating power [2][4]. - The report notes that the lack of peak regulation units in northern power plants should lead to an increase in industry valuations [4]. Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - Ningxia's spot electricity price cap was raised to 0.8 yuan/kWh, reflecting the ongoing issues with regulating power supply [4]. - The new pricing mechanism for electricity in Ningxia includes a capacity price of 165 yuan/kW·year starting January 2026, which will be shared among all industrial and commercial users [4]. Regional Insights - The mechanism electricity price in Ningxia is set at 0.2197 yuan/kWh, lower than Shandong's 0.225 yuan/kWh, indicating regional pricing disparities [4]. - The report discusses the limitations imposed by Guangdong's policy on photovoltaic mechanism electricity, which may restrict the growth of solar energy in the region [4]. Statistical Overview - In August, total electricity generation reached 936.3 billion kWh, showing a year-over-year increase of 1.6% [4]. - The year-to-date electricity generation for industrial enterprises was 6,419.3 billion kWh, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.5% [4].