GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-22 11:18Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the machinery industry [4]. Core Insights - The machinery industry maintains high prosperity, with both domestic sales and exports experiencing rapid growth. Companies with global manufacturing layouts, brand output capabilities, and channel integration advantages are recommended for investment. In the context of changing external environments and policy negotiations, companies with diversified capacity allocation, stable customer loyalty, and pricing power are expected to achieve sustained growth amid global trade adjustments. Key recommended stocks include Juxing Technology, Yindu Co., Taotao Vehicle, Honghua Digital Technology, and Jack Co. [5][20]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Overview - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate target range to 4.00%-4.25%. In August, the US CPI increased by 2.9% year-on-year, with a core CPI rise of 3.1%. Non-farm employment added 22,000 jobs [5]. Cost Tracking - As of September 17, 2025, the USD to RMB exchange rate was 7.11, a decrease of 0.23% from September 10. The Euro to RMB exchange rate was 8.41, an increase of 0.93% from September 10. The shipping costs for major routes showed a year-on-year decline, with the comprehensive index of China's export container freight rate index (CCFI) at 1125.30, down 38.11% year-on-year [5]. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - The report includes various industry metrics, such as the US restaurant performance index (RPI) and housing market index, indicating trends in consumer behavior and real estate activity. For instance, the US housing market index in September showed a year-on-year decline of 21.95% [5]. Company Earnings Forecast - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies in the machinery sector, projecting EPS growth for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PE ratios indicating potential for investment [20].