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宏观经济专题:“十五五”规划企业座谈会召开
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-09-22 12:13

Domestic Macro Policy - The Ministry of Finance emphasized the need for a more proactive fiscal policy to support employment and foreign trade, aiming to improve people's livelihoods and foster new growth drivers[2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" focuses on industrial internet applications and typical scenarios of "Artificial Intelligence+" to boost emerging industries[12] - Shanghai has adjusted housing tax policies, exempting first-time homebuyers and second homes under certain conditions for residents with residence permits[18] Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China is advocating for reforms in the global financial governance system, suggesting a shift towards a multi-currency international monetary system[14] - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to 4.00%-4.25%, with a forecast of an additional 50 basis points reduction by year-end[23] Trade Relations - A constructive phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump highlighted the potential for mutual prosperity and cooperation between the two nations[21] Consumption and Investment - The Ministry of Commerce announced measures to expand service consumption, including a "Service Consumption Season" and support for cross-industry collaborations[16] - The new energy storage plan aims for a capacity of 180 million kilowatts by 2027, driving an estimated investment of approximately 250 billion yuan[13] Risk Factors - There is a risk of divergence in domestic and international monetary policies, with concerns that domestic policy execution may fall short of expectations[27]