Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [1][33]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector experienced an overall decline of 2.07% from September 15 to September 19, ranking 23rd among 31 industries in the Shenwan index, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.63 percentage points. Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 24.17%, ranking 10th among the 31 industries and outperforming the CSI 300 index by 9.76 percentage points [3][12][16]. - The current PE valuation for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector stands at 31.18 times, which is at the historical median level, with a valuation premium of 136% compared to the CSI 300 index [3][19]. - The report highlights significant policy developments, including the completion of the review for the 2025 National Basic Medical Insurance Directory and the formal release of the 11th batch of national procurement documents, which includes 55 major varieties [4][27][28]. Market Performance - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector's performance for the week of September 15-19 showed a decline of 2.07%, with the top three declining sub-sectors being biological products (-3.47%), chemical pharmaceuticals (-2.43%), and traditional Chinese medicine II (-2.13%) [3][12]. - Year-to-date, the sector has increased by 24.17%, with the top three performing sub-sectors being medical services (46.19%), chemical pharmaceuticals (41.47%), and biological products (16.75%) [16][19]. Industry News - On September 20, the National Medical Insurance Administration completed the review of the 2025 National Basic Medical Insurance Directory and the commercial insurance innovative drug directory, moving into the core negotiation and pricing phase [4][27]. - The 11th batch of national procurement was officially released on September 20, optimizing the requirements for bidding companies and the rules for procurement, which is expected to be a significant turning point for the industry [4][28]. - The Shanghai Municipal Government issued a plan to promote the development of the high-end medical device industry, aiming to enhance innovation and international competitiveness by 2027 [4][29]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the progress of the medical insurance directory negotiations and the implications of the national procurement policies. It recommends investment opportunities in innovative drugs, CXO, medical devices, traditional Chinese medicine, chain pharmacies, and medical services [5][30]. - Recommended stocks include Teva Biopharmaceuticals, Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals, Betta Pharmaceuticals, Kaili Medical, and Huaxia Eye Hospital, with additional stocks to watch including Kelun Pharmaceutical, Qianhong Pharmaceutical, Yifeng Pharmacy, Baipusais, and Lingrui Pharmaceutical [5][30].
医药生物行业周报:医保调整,集采优化,持续看好药械板块投资机会-20250922
Donghai Securities·2025-09-22 13:06