财达期货｜股指期货周报-20250922

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The overall A-share market showed a narrow-range volatile trend last week with significant structural industry differentiation. The science and technology sector remained the market's mainstay despite increased volatility. The market demonstrated strong resilience and stable sentiment. Looking ahead, the A-share market may face structural adjustments and overall range-bound fluctuations [3][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance - Last week, the four stock index futures varieties mainly showed a volatile consolidation trend. The adjustment amplitudes of the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 were relatively large. The basis of the four stock index futures varieties continued to develop towards deep discounts, and most contracts maintained the futures discount mode. The futures-spot basis of the main contracts of the index futures were as follows: IH at 3.66, IF at -37.52, IC at -186.35, and IM at -247.39 [3]. - The A-share market showed a narrow-range volatile trend last week with significant structural industry differentiation. After the communication computing power led the market, the new energy, semiconductor, and robot sectors gradually showed a leading trend. The science and technology sector remained the market's mainstay despite increased volatility [3]. 3.2 Comprehensive Analysis - There were many information catalysts related to science and technology recently. For example, NVIDIA invested in Intel and would jointly develop high-performance chips for PCs and AI data centers with it, US technology companies invested in UK data centers, Huawei first clearly disclosed the Hetu series of AI chip plans, and Chinese technology companies adapted domestic chips. The mainstay position of science and technology did not change significantly [4]. 3.3 Outlook - The social retail and industrial added value data released last week showed that after the marginal effect of the "two important and two new" policies gradually faded, domestic demand might stall again. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but the interest rate cut guidance for 2026 was less than market expectations. The A-share market may face structural adjustments and overall range-bound fluctuations in the future [5].