棕榈油：上下均无驱动，库存压力需要释放豆油：阿根廷取消豆类出口税，美豆偏弱震荡

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Views of the Report - Palm oil has no upward or downward drivers, and the inventory pressure needs to be released [2][4]. - For soybean oil, Argentina has cancelled the export tax on soybeans, leading to a weak and volatile trend in US soybeans [2][4]. - Due to the US soybean's lower - than - expected good - to - excellent rate, soybean meal may rebound [2][13]. - Affected by the sentiment in the soybean market, soybean No.1 is oscillating at a low level [2][13]. - Attention should be paid to the listing of new corn [2][16]. - Monitor the impact of typhoon "Huajiaisha" on sugarcane areas [2][21]. - The pressure of new cotton listing is weighing on the futures price [2][26]. - The peak season for eggs is coming to an end [2][32]. - It is the stage of concentrated release of contradictions in the pig market before the festival [2][34]. - Peanut prices have declined [2][39]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Palm Oil and Soybean Oil Fundamental Tracking - Palm oil's daytime closing price was 9,360 yuan/ton with a 0.47% increase, and the night - time closing price was 9,152 yuan/ton with a 2.22% - 2.32% decrease. Its trading volume was 561,707 lots, an increase of 7,050 lots, and the open interest was 403,883 lots, a decrease of 7,931 lots. The spot price in Guangdong was 9,270 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30 yuan/ton, and the basis was - 90 yuan/ton [5]. - Soybean oil's daytime closing price was 8,366 yuan/ton with a 0.46% increase, and the night - time closing price was 8,172 yuan/ton. Its trading volume was 290,066 lots, a decrease of 41,585 lots, and the open interest was 569,350 lots, a decrease of 2,076 lots. The spot price in Guangdong was 8,710 yuan/ton, unchanged, and the basis was 344 yuan/ton [5]. Macro and Industry News - From September 1 - 20, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil yield per unit area decreased by 6.57% month - on - month, the oil extraction rate decreased by 0.25% month - on - month, and the output decreased by 7.89% month - on - month [6]. - Malaysia's palm oil product exports from September 1 - 20, 2025, showed different trends according to different institutions' data. ITS data indicated an increase compared to the same period last month, AmSpec showed an 8.3% increase, while SGS predicted a 16.1% decrease [7][8][9]. - As of September 21, the US soybean good - to - excellent rate was 61%, lower than the market expectation of 62%, and the harvest rate was 9%, lower than the expected 12% [9]. - Argentina has temporarily cancelled the export tax on soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, and wheat until October 31 or until the total export reaches 7 billion US dollars [10]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of palm oil and soybean oil is - 1 [12]. Soybean Meal and Soybean No.1 Fundamental Tracking - DCE soybean No.1 2511's daytime closing price was 3,912 yuan/ton with a 0.15% increase, and the night - time closing price was 3,884 yuan/ton with a 0.69% decrease. DCE soybean meal 2601's daytime closing price was 3,034 yuan/ton with a 1.00% increase, and the night - time closing price was 2,983 yuan/ton with a 1.55% decrease [13]. Macro and Industry News - On September 22, CBOT soybean futures closed lower, hitting a six - week low due to insufficient Chinese purchases and Argentina's cancellation of the export tax on grains [13][15]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of soybean meal and soybean No.1 is 0 [15]. Corn Fundamental Tracking - The daytime closing price of C2511 was 2,147 yuan/ton with a 1.11% decrease, and the night - time closing price was 2,151 yuan/ton with a 0.19% increase. The daytime closing price of C2601 was 2,136 yuan/ton with a 1.16% decrease, and the night - time closing price was 2,137 yuan/ton with a 0.05% increase [16]. Macro and Industry News - The northern corn collection price at ports decreased by 20 yuan/ton compared to last week, and the price in Guangdong Shekou remained flat. The purchase price of deep - processing enterprises in the Northeast and North China has declined [17]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of corn is 0 [20]. Sugar Fundamental Tracking - The raw sugar price was 15.85 cents/pound, a year - on - year decrease of 0.33 cents/pound. The mainstream spot price was 5,850 yuan/ton, a year - on - year decrease of 60 yuan/ton, and the futures main contract price was 5,452 yuan/ton, a year - on - year decrease of 9 yuan/ton [21]. Macro and Industry News - Pay attention to the impact of typhoon "Huajiaisha" on sugarcane production areas. Brazil's sugar production in the second half of August increased by 18% year - on - year, but its exports in August and July decreased by 5% year - on - year. Conab has lowered Brazil's sugar production forecast for the 25/26 season to 44.5 million tons [21]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of sugar is 0 [24]. Cotton Fundamental Tracking - The daytime closing price of CF2601 was 13,610 yuan/ton with a 0.80% decrease, and the night - time closing price was 13,575 yuan/ton with a 0.26% - 0.05% decrease. The daytime closing price of CY2511 was 19,675 yuan/ton with a 0.30% decrease [26]. Macro and Industry News - The spot trading of cotton was sluggish, and the purchase price of seed cotton was slightly weak. The sentiment in the cotton yarn market has weakened, and the sales of cotton grey cloth have partially declined [27]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of cotton is 0 [29]. Eggs Fundamental Tracking - The price of eggs 2510 was 2,982 yuan/500 kg, a 1.84% decrease, and the price of eggs 2601 was 3,366 yuan/500 kg, a 1.67% decrease [32]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of eggs is 0 [32]. Pigs Fundamental Tracking - The Henan spot price was 12,730 yuan/ton, a decrease of 200 yuan/ton. The futures prices of pigs 2511, 2601, and 2603 all decreased year - on - year [35]. Market Logic - Group farms have significantly reduced supply, but the pig weight has increased again, and the price difference between fat and lean pigs has weakened, indicating a serious passive inventory accumulation. The probability of concentrated pressure release in the spot market before the double festivals has increased, and the spot price center will further decline [37]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of pigs is - 1 [36]. Peanuts Fundamental Tracking - The price of Liaoning 308 common peanuts was 8,600 yuan/ton, an increase of 140 yuan/ton. The trading volume and open interest of peanut futures decreased [39]. Spot Market Focus - In most peanut - producing areas, the supply has slightly increased due to improved weather, but the remaining spring peanuts are limited. The harvest of wheat - stubble peanuts has been postponed due to rain [40]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of peanuts is 0 [42].