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英华特(301272)深度——国产替代加速,多领域布局拓展成长曲线

Core Insights - The report highlights the accelerated domestic substitution in the compressor industry, particularly in the field of scroll compressors, with a focus on four application areas: heat pumps, commercial air conditioning, refrigeration, and electric vehicle applications [2][3][8] - The company has established a strong market presence in the heat pump sector, ranking second in sales from 2019 to 2022, and has seen a significant shift in revenue composition, with commercial air conditioning surpassing heat pumps as the largest revenue contributor in 2023 [2][3][8] - The scroll compressor industry has experienced a fluctuating upward trend in sales, driven by structural recovery in downstream demand and the expansion of new applications in heat pumps, refrigeration, and automotive sectors [2][3][8] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has successfully increased its market share through three main advantages: accelerated domestic substitution, diversified application expansion, and continuous contribution from export markets [3][8] - The global market share of the company rose from 1% in 2019 to 1.4% in 2021, while domestic market share increased from 3.2% to 5.0% during the same period, indicating a strong competitive position [3][8] - The company has established partnerships with well-known distributors to expand into markets such as Latin America, Russia, and India, enhancing its international presence [3][8] Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 88 million, 100 million, and 113 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 18%, 14%, and 14% respectively [3][8] - The target market capitalization for 2025 is estimated at 2.9 billion yuan, reflecting an upward potential of over 5% compared to the closing market value of 2.76 billion yuan on September 19, 2025 [3][8]