光大证券晨会速递-20250923

Group 1: High-end Manufacturing Industry - In August, domestic sales of engineering machinery showed resilience during the off-season, with significant recovery in non-excavator categories and strong export performance [2] - The report recommends key manufacturers such as SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, XCMG, LiuGong, Shantui, and China Longgong, as well as component manufacturers like Hengli Hydraulic [2] Group 2: Real Estate Market - Continuous policy benefits in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai have led to increased new home transactions, with Shanghai's new home transaction volume rising by 62.5% post-policy implementation [3][4] - The top three new home transaction amounts in Shanghai from January to August 2025 were recorded by Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and China Resources Land [3] Group 3: Steel Industry - Xianglou New Materials, a leading company in precision stamping, is expected to benefit from the rising demand for precision steel in high-end manufacturing sectors such as automotive and bearings [5] - The company is also expanding into materials for humanoid robot components, with projected net profits of 239 million, 280 million, and 336 million yuan for 2025-2027 [5] Group 4: Construction Industry - Zhongfu Shenying has shown significant improvement in profitability, achieving its first profit in a year during Q2 2025, driven by stable product prices and increased sales [6] - The net profit forecasts for Zhongfu Shenying have been adjusted to 125 million yuan for 2025, 157 million yuan for 2026, and a new estimate of 215 million yuan for 2027 [6]