中金公司港股晨报-20250923

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faces resistance around 27,200 points, with a projected P/E ratio of approximately 13 times over the next 12 months, as the market remains active and risk appetite is relatively positive [1] - The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% interest rate cut, with expectations for two more cuts this year, indicating a shift in policy stance due to slowing economic activity and rising inflation [4][6] Sector Outlook - The financial system in mainland China is overall stable, with a moderate easing monetary policy being implemented [2] - The steel industry in mainland China aims for an average annual growth of 4% over the next two years, with a ban on new production capacity [2][9] - The AI sector is being accelerated with new technology infrastructure being encouraged in designated areas [2][9] Corporate News - Chery Automobile plans to price its shares at a maximum of HKD 30.75, aiming to raise up to HKD 9.1 billion [3] - JD Industrial is preparing for a listing in Hong Kong, having received preliminary approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission [3] - Yancoal Energy intends to spin off its subsidiary, Karsong Technology, for listing on the New Third Board [3] Economic Indicators - The LPR (Loan Prime Rate) in mainland China remained unchanged in September, aligning with market expectations [8] - The total assets of the banking and insurance sectors in mainland China have grown at an average rate of 9% over the past five years, with total assets exceeding RMB 500 trillion [9] Consumer Market - Retail sales in August showed a year-on-year increase of 20.7% for tablets and 8.2% for mobile phones, indicating a stable consumer market [9] - The online retail sales for the first eight months reached RMB 10 trillion, growing by 9.6% year-on-year [9] Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has advised local brokerages to pause their RWA (Real World Asset) tokenization business in Hong Kong, reflecting concerns over the offshore digital asset market [10] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority injected HKD 40 million into the banking system through the discount window [10]