期指：政策讯号再释放，宽幅震荡

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The stock index futures are expected to experience wide - range fluctuations after the release of new policy signals [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - On September 22, all the current - month contracts of the four major stock index futures rose. IF rose 0.25%, IH rose 0.18%, IC rose 0.36%, and IM rose 0.47% [1]. - On the trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures decreased, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF decreased by 52,955 lots, IH by 16,499 lots, IC by 72,929 lots, and IM by 105,450 lots. In terms of positions, the total position of IF decreased by 745 lots, IH increased by 3,869 lots, IC decreased by 7,430 lots, and IM decreased by 10,197 lots [1][2]. - The base differences and trading data of different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM are presented in detail in the table, including closing prices, price changes, base differences, trading volumes, and position changes [1]. 3.2 Top 20 Member Position Changes - The changes in long and short positions of the top 20 members of different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM are provided, with some data not disclosed [5]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.4 Important Drivers - Central Bank Governor Pan Gongsheng introduced that during the "14th Five - Year Plan" period, China's financial industry achieved new major achievements. By the end of June this year, China's banking industry's total assets were nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first in the world; the scale of the stock and bond markets ranked second in the world; and the foreign exchange reserve scale ranked first in the world for 20 consecutive years. China is also at the forefront in green finance, inclusive finance, and digital finance. The RMB cross - border payment and settlement network is basically established, and mobile payment is internationally leading. In addition, the number of financing platforms decreased by 60% compared with March 2023, and the financial debt scale decreased by more than 50%. At the end of July, overseas institutions and individuals held 10 trillion yuan of domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits and loans. The issuance scale of panda bonds by overseas institutions exceeded 1 trillion yuan. In terms of financial support for real - estate risk resolution, policies such as the down - payment ratio and mortgage interest rates were optimized, and the stock mortgage interest rates were reduced, saving over 300 billion yuan in interest expenses for over 50 million households annually [6][7]. - Financial Regulatory Administration Director Li Yunze stated that since the "14th Five - Year Plan", the financial operation has been generally stable, with major regulatory indicators such as non - performing loans, capital adequacy, and solvency improving steadily and being in a healthy range. Over the past five years, the disposal of non - performing assets increased by more than 40% compared with the "13th Five - Year Plan" period. The total scale of capital and provisions for the industry to resist risks exceeded 50 trillion yuan. Currently, the total assets of the banking and insurance industries exceed 500 trillion yuan, with an average growth of nearly 9% in five years. The number and scale of high - risk institutions and assets have dropped significantly from their peaks, and the risks are fully controllable. During the "14th Five - Year Plan" period, the Financial Regulatory Administration cracked down on financial irregularities, punished illegal shareholders, and guided financial resources to the real economy [8]. - CSRC Chairman Wu Qing said that during the "14th Five - Year Plan" period, the CSRC issued 2,214 administrative penalties for cases such as financial fraud, market manipulation, and insider trading, with fines and confiscations totaling 41.4 billion yuan, an increase of 58% and 30% respectively compared with the "13th Five - Year Plan" period. The A - share market's resilience and risk - resistance ability have been significantly enhanced, with the annualized volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index at 15.9%, a decrease of 2.8 percentage points compared with the "13th Five - Year Plan" period. In August this year, the total market value of the A - share market exceeded 100 trillion yuan for the first time. Listed companies' awareness of rewarding investors has increased significantly, with a total of 10.6 trillion yuan distributed through dividends and share buybacks in the past five years, an increase of more than 80% compared with the "13th Five - Year Plan" period. During the "14th Five - Year Plan" period, 13 foreign - controlled securities, fund, and futures institutions were newly approved to operate in China. Foreign investors held 3.4 trillion yuan of A - share market value, and 269 enterprises were listed overseas. The default rate of exchange - traded bonds has been maintained at a low level of about 1% [9].