港股市场策略周报-20250923

Market Performance Review - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a slight increase this week, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.43%, the Hang Seng Composite Index by 0.59%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index by 5.09%, driven primarily by technology stocks [3][13] - The performance of major industry sectors was mixed, with consumer discretionary and information technology sectors leading the gains, reflecting the strong performance of the Hang Seng Tech Index [3][13] - The financial and real estate sectors saw declines of approximately 3% each, while other sectors such as materials and utilities also experienced declines of over 2% [3][13] Valuation Levels - As of the end of this week, the 5-year PE (TTM) valuation percentile for the Hang Seng Composite Index stands at 82.82%, indicating that the valuation level is above the 5-year average [3] Buyback Statistics - The total buyback amount for the week was HKD 3.89 billion, remaining stable compared to the previous week's HKD 3.81 billion [27] - Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) led the buybacks with an amount of HKD 2.75 billion, followed by HSBC Holdings (0005.HK) with HKD 640 million, and Hang Seng Bank (0011.HK) with HKD 100 million [27][30] Southbound Fund Flow - The top net buy companies this week included Alibaba (9988.HK) with a net buy amount of HKD 22.25 billion, BeiGene (6160.HK) with HKD 2.02 billion, and Meituan (3690.HK) with HKD 1.66 billion [34] - The top net sell companies included Xiaomi Group (1810.HK) with a net sell amount of HKD 1.95 billion, Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) with HKD 1.29 billion, and Great Wall Motor (2333.HK) with HKD 768 million [35] Macroeconomic Environment - The overall economic activity data for August continued to weaken compared to the previous month, influenced by high base effects, internal competition, the decline of national subsidies, and cooling real estate activity [44] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that fixed asset investment from January to August reached CNY 3.26 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, while real estate development investment decreased by 12.9% [39][44] - The macro policies aimed at stabilizing growth and promoting consumption are still being advanced, with expectations of further monetary easing from the Federal Reserve [44] Sector Outlook - The report favors sectors that are relatively prosperous and benefit from policy support, including automotive, new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and technology [3][44] - Low-valuation state-owned enterprises that are stable in performance and stock price are also seen as favorable, along with local Hong Kong banks, telecommunications, and utility dividend stocks that are relatively independent and benefit from the interest rate cut cycle [3][44]