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存储行业更新报告:需求致行业价格普涨,AI端侧存储解决方案加速迭代
Bank of China Securities·2025-09-23 08:02

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the semiconductor storage industry is expected to perform better than the benchmark index over the next 6-12 months [1][34]. Core Insights - The semiconductor storage industry is experiencing steady growth driven by the maturation of business models related to generative AI and large language models, alongside sustained demand for core hardware. This demand is likely to lead to a simultaneous increase in both price and volume [1]. - The NAND market is expected to see a price increase due to rising demand from enterprise-level storage and mobile devices, with projections indicating a modest price rise in Q4 2025 [7][14]. - The DRAM market is anticipated to experience significant price increases, with quarterly growth rates projected between 20% to 50% in Q4 2025, driven by supply constraints and increased demand [15][18]. - The niche storage market is witnessing price increases due to structural shortages, with NOR Flash and niche DRAM products expected to see price adjustments in the coming quarters [20][24]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The semiconductor storage industry is on an upward trajectory, supported by increased capital expenditures from major internet companies focusing on AI and cloud infrastructure [10][13]. - Major players like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, which is expected to drive demand for storage solutions [10][13]. Market Trends - The NAND flash market is currently facing downward price adjustments but is expected to rebound with a price increase in Q4 2025, particularly in enterprise and mobile sectors [7][14]. - The DRAM market is experiencing a shift due to the discontinuation of older process technologies, leading to substantial price increases for DDR4 and LPDDR4X products [15][18]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies to watch include: - Niche Storage: Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, Jucheng, Dongxin - Module Manufacturers: Kaipu Cloud, Jiangbo Long, Deming Li, Baiwei Storage, Shannon Chip Creation - Storage Supporting Chips: Lanke Technology, Lianyun Technology [3][28].