金银价格再创新高

Market Analysis - The A-share market exhibited a V-shaped trend with a slight decline, while the bond market experienced a pullback, and precious metals continued to rise to new highs [2][4] - The technology sector remains the main focus of the market, driven by a series of policy events and the upcoming National Day holiday, which may increase profit-taking pressure [4][6] - The market showed signs of differentiation, with a significant number of stocks declining, while semiconductor equipment and banking sectors led the gains [6] Bond Market - The bond market saw an overall decline, with long-term bonds performing weaker than short-term ones, as the 30-year bond futures contract fell by 0.67% [7][11] - The market is characterized by a tight balance, with the central bank's operations indicating a net withdrawal of funds, while short-term rates remain loose [11] - The expectation for interest rate cuts has diminished, leading to greater adjustments in long-term rates, with the 10-year bond yield rising by 1.05 basis points to 1.7980% [11] Commodity Market - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, reached new highs, with gold prices surpassing 3750 CNY per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 40% [8][12] - The industrial commodities market is experiencing a downturn, influenced by supply-side pressures, while precious metals are expected to maintain a strong upward trend due to global liquidity conditions [10][12] - The market is witnessing a divergence where precious metals are strong while industrial commodities are weak, driven by supply and demand dynamics [12] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a shift in market style from "technology-led" to "balanced allocation," with a focus on strong logical segments within the technology sector and the value of dividend stocks [12][14] - In the commodity sector, precious metals and non-ferrous metals are expected to benefit from global liquidity, while industrial products are influenced by supply-side dynamics [12][14] - The report highlights key investment opportunities in various sectors, including precious metals, artificial intelligence, domestic chips, and consumer goods, with a focus on monitoring economic recovery and policy developments [14]