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小黄鸭德盈(02250):公司事件点评报告:业绩显著改善,内生外延贡献增量

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [8]. Core Insights - The company's performance has significantly improved, with a notable increase in revenue and a reduction in net losses. The first half of 2025 saw total revenue of 0.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37%, and a narrowed net loss of 0.11 billion yuan compared to a loss of 0.17 billion yuan in the first half of 2024 [1][2]. - The company is actively expanding its business through acquisitions, specifically targeting the trendy toy sector. It plans to acquire approximately 27.74% of HIDDEN WOOO for 0.14 billion yuan in cash and 0.24 billion yuan in stock, which will enhance its IP matrix and support overseas expansion [2][3]. - The company has experienced a recovery across all business lines, with e-commerce and other business revenues increasing by 31% to 0.44 billion yuan, driven by enhanced promotional efforts and expansion into new e-commerce platforms [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the gross margin increased by 1 percentage point to 55.50%, while promotional costs as a percentage of revenue rose by 2 percentage points to 14.73% due to initial high costs associated with new e-commerce initiatives [2]. - The adjusted net loss rate improved by 15% year-on-year to 13.05%, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability [2]. Business Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its e-commerce operations in Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and the United States, with revenue growth in these regions of 145% and 297%, respectively [4][7]. - The company has launched self-operated city parks, which are expected to contribute new revenue streams alongside ticket sales and IP product sales [8]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to see substantial earnings growth, with EPS estimates of 0.01, 0.04, and 0.13 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 119, 30, and 10 for the same years [8][10].