物产环能（603071）：煤炭贸易短期承压，热电联产稳步发展

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company, with a target price of 16.19 yuan based on a 12x PE ratio for 2025 [6][11][18]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 18.422 billion yuan for H1 2025, a decrease of 7.56% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 302 million yuan, an increase of 15.96% year-on-year [1]. - The coal trading business showed resilience with a sales volume increase of 3.19 million tons, a growth of 14.13% year-on-year, despite a revenue decline of 25.52% [3]. - The heat and power cogeneration segment achieved a revenue of 1.447 billion yuan, down 6.72% year-on-year, but the gross profit increased by 14.35%, indicating improved efficiency [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company experienced a revenue decline of 1.507 billion yuan, primarily due to a drop in coal prices, which reduced revenue by 4.036 billion yuan [1]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 43.622 billion yuan, 44.692 billion yuan, and 45.692 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 753 million yuan, 905 million yuan, and 944 million yuan [5][12]. Business Segments - The coal trading segment is expected to generate revenues of 40.242 billion yuan, 41.047 billion yuan, and 41.868 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, maintaining a gross margin of 3% [13]. - The heat and power cogeneration segment is projected to achieve revenues of 3.291 billion yuan, 3.555 billion yuan, and 3.732 billion yuan, with a stable gross margin of 25% [14]. - The renewable energy segment is anticipated to generate consistent revenues of 54 million yuan across the forecast period, with a gross margin of 30% [14]. Strategic Developments - The company successfully advanced the acquisition of Nan Taihu Technology for 1.4573 billion yuan, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and scale in the heat and power cogeneration sector [4]. - The company is actively expanding its market presence in key regions such as Xinjiang and Central China, leveraging its strong supply chain resilience [13].