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交投活跃提升,券商基本面稳定向好
Shanxi Securities·2025-09-24 08:43

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the non-bank financial industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The non-bank financial industry has shown significant improvement in market activity, with a notable increase in trading volume and a positive outlook for brokerages as capital market reforms continue to progress [3][10]. - The report highlights a substantial rise in securities transaction stamp duty, reaching 118.7 billion yuan for the first eight months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 81.7% [10][28]. - The average daily trading volume in August 2025 exceeded 2 trillion yuan, indicating a robust market sentiment and active trading environment [10][28]. Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Suggestions - The report emphasizes the ongoing improvement in market trading activity, with a significant increase in securities transaction stamp duty and average daily trading volume, suggesting a stable recovery in the capital market [10]. - Brokerages are expected to benefit from the deepening of capital market reforms, with opportunities for both external and internal growth, particularly in overseas markets [10]. Market Review - The major indices displayed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 1.30% and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.34% during the week [11]. - The total A-share trading amount reached 12.59 trillion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 2.52 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.23% increase week-on-week [11][16]. Industry Key Data Tracking 1) Market Performance and Scale: - The report notes a decline in the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.30% and a slight decrease in the CSI 300 by 0.44%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.34% [11]. - The total A-share trading amount for the week was 12.59 trillion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 2.52 trillion yuan, marking an 8.23% week-on-week increase [11][16]. 2) Credit Business: - As of September 19, 2025, the market had 300.71 billion pledged shares, accounting for 3.68% of the total share capital, with a margin balance of 2.40 trillion yuan, reflecting a 1.98% increase [16][23]. 3) Fund Issuance: - In August 2025, new fund issuance reached 102.02 billion units, with 140 funds launched, representing a 6.62% increase from the previous month [16][24]. 4) Investment Banking Business: - The report indicates that the equity underwriting scale in August 2025 was 23.48 billion yuan, with IPO amounts at 4.09 billion yuan and refinancing amounts at 19.38 billion yuan [16]. 5) Bond Market: - The report notes a 1.96% decline in the total price index of bonds since the beginning of the year, with the 10-year government bond yield at 1.88%, up 27.12 basis points year-to-date [16][18]. Regulatory Policies and Industry Dynamics - The report highlights that the number of active users of securities applications reached a record high in August 2025, with a total of 173 million users, reflecting a 4% month-on-month increase and a 27.26% year-on-year increase [28]. - The significant increase in securities transaction stamp duty in August 2025, reaching 25.1 billion yuan, indicates a strong market activity [28].