LANJIAN(SH:688557) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-24 11:55Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company with a target price of 45.30 CNY, while the current price is 37.48 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company has a rich downstream scenario and outstanding capability for intelligent implementation, with high long-term investment in R&D and rapid order growth, indicating that performance is expected to enter a sustained release period [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 976 million CNY in 2023 to 2,672 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.8% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 110 million CNY in 2023 to 283 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 27.3% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.08 CNY in 2023 to 2.75 CNY in 2027 [4]. Revenue Forecast and Valuation - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase of 30% in 2025, 40% in 2026, and 20% in 2027 for its core business [14]. - The report uses a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 30x for 2025, leading to a target price of 45.3 CNY per share [17]. Business Model and Market Position - The company operates in the intelligent logistics sector, focusing on smart robots and comprehensive logistics solutions, and is one of the few in the industry with self-developed hardware and software capabilities [19][22]. - The company has established a strong market presence with a significant increase in orders, achieving 15 billion CNY in new orders in the first half of 2025, a 96% year-on-year growth [23][14]. R&D and Technological Investment - The company maintains a high level of R&D investment, with a research expense ratio consistently above 8% since 2020, and 10.33% in the first half of 2025 [40][4]. - The focus areas for R&D include intelligent algorithms, digital twins, and 3D visual recognition technologies [10]. Financial Performance - The company has demonstrated strong financial performance, with revenue growing from 151 million CNY in 2017 to 1,207 million CNY in 2024, representing a CAGR of 34.6% [29]. - The net profit has also seen substantial growth, increasing from 5 million CNY in 2017 to 112 million CNY in 2024, with a CAGR of 54.6% [29].