金信期货日刊-20250925

Report Overview - Report Title: "GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO., LTD - Glass Futures Soar: Uptrend under Multiple Expectations" - Report Date: September 25, 2025 - Report Author: Jinxin Futures Research Institute 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On September 24, the sharp rise of glass futures was the result of the resonance of policy expectations, marginal improvement in supply and demand, and sector linkage. The policy has become the core driving force, and the supply - demand side shows positive signals. The strong performance of photovoltaic glass has a driving effect, and investors should seize long - position opportunities [3][4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Glass Futures - The sharp rise on September 24 was due to policy expectations, supply - demand improvement, and sector linkage. Policy support includes strict capacity control in the building materials industry and real - estate support policies. Supply - demand side shows positive signals such as inventory reduction in the main production area, increased enthusiasm of traders, and improved production - sales ratio. The strong performance of photovoltaic glass has boosted the sector [3][4]. Technical Analysis - Stock Index Futures - It closed with a bare - headed and bare - footed medium阳线. With news such as Alibaba's plan for a 380 billion AI infrastructure construction and Fed's call for faster interest - rate cuts, the market is expected to continue to oscillate upward at a high level [7]. Technical Analysis - Gold - The market is trading the expectation of an interest - rate cut in October. After three days of adjustment, gold rose strongly again, showing obvious strength, and the outlook is bullish [12]. Technical Analysis - Iron Ore - The start of restocking may support raw materials. Technically, it is still in a high - level wide - range oscillation range, and an oscillatory approach should be adopted [15]. Technical Analysis - Glass - Technically, it soared due to news today and should be viewed from an oscillatory perspective. Daily melting is basically stable, factory inventory has declined slightly, but the recovery of downstream deep - processing orders is insufficient, and attention should be paid to restocking near the peak season [20][21]. Technical Analysis - Soybean Oil - On September 12, the domestic commercial inventory of soybean oil was 1.26 million tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 10,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 100,000 tons, and a year - on - year increase of 110,000 tons. High inventory restricts price increase, and it should be treated with a bearish oscillatory view [24]. Technical Analysis - Pulp - Today, the pulp price in Shandong remained stable, and port inventory started to decline slightly. It is still at a medium - to - high level. There are expectations of improvement before the Mid - Autumn Festival peak season, but no improvement has been seen yet. It is expected to oscillate at a low level, and high - selling and low - buying within the range can be considered [28].