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七一二(603712):军工AI系列报告之三:专网无线通信系统核心供应商,数据链应用有望带动业绩高增

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is a core supplier of dedicated wireless communication systems in China, with significant growth potential driven by data link applications and military demand recovery [4][6] - The company has a strong first-mover advantage in the dedicated wireless communication sector, focusing on military applications and covering various platforms [15][24] - The ongoing modernization of military communication systems in China presents substantial opportunities for the company, particularly in the context of national defense informationization [41][42] Summary by Sections 1. Core Supplier of Dedicated Wireless Communication - The company has deep roots in dedicated wireless communication, having been established in 1936 and evolving into a key player in the industry [15] - Its product offerings include military and civilian wireless communication systems, with a focus on shortwave and ultra-shortwave communication [24] - Recent financial performance has been impacted by industry demand fluctuations, but there is significant potential for recovery as market conditions improve [29] 2. National Defense Informationization - National defense budgets in China have shown consistent growth, supporting the ongoing need for advanced military communication systems [41][42] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for military communication upgrades, particularly in the air and ground sectors [4][6] 3. Data Link Development - The evolution of military operational modes is driving demand for data link systems, which offer advantages over traditional voice communication [6][9] - The company is expected to capitalize on the long-term upgrade needs of data link systems, which are critical for multi-platform communication in military operations [9] 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate a recovery trajectory, with expected net profits of 0.96 billion, 2.17 billion, and 3.12 billion for 2025E-2027E [5][7] - The current stock price reflects a lower price-to-earnings ratio compared to comparable companies, suggesting potential undervaluation [7] 5. Competitive Advantages - The company possesses several core technologies in ultra-shortwave communication, providing a competitive edge in the market [4][6] - Its focus on customized products for various military applications enhances its market position and aligns with the needs of the Chinese military [24][26]