工业硅：盘面表现较抗跌，多晶硅：市场情绪降温

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The industrial silicon futures market shows relatively resilient performance, while the sentiment in the polysilicon market has cooled down [1][2]. - The trend strength of industrial silicon is neutral (0), and that of polysilicon is slightly bearish (-1) [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures Market Data: The closing price of Si2511 is 9,055 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 35 yuan compared to T-1. The trading volume is 318,137 lots, a decrease of 35,630 lots from T-1. The open interest is 259,965 lots, a decrease of 10,966 lots from T-1. For PS2511, the closing price is 51,365 yuan/ton, a decrease of 15 yuan from T-1. The trading volume is 184,786 lots, a decrease of 57,230 lots from T-1, and the open interest is 105,474 lots, a decrease of 5,713 lots from T-1 [2]. - Basis Data: The spot premium or discount of industrial silicon varies when benchmarked against different products, such as +445 yuan/ton when benchmarked against East China Si5530, -155 yuan/ton against East China Si4210, and -55 yuan/ton against Xinjiang 99 silicon. The spot premium of polysilicon against N-type re - feed is +685 yuan/ton [2]. - Price Data: The price of Xinjiang 99 silicon is 9,000 yuan/ton, Yunnan Si4210 is 9,950 yuan/ton, and polysilicon - N - type re - feed is 52,550 yuan/ton. The prices of other related products in the industrial chain, such as silicon wafers, battery cells, and components, are also provided [2]. - Profit Data: The profit of silicon plants in Xinjiang (new standard 553) is - 2,186 yuan/ton, and in Yunnan (new standard 553) is - 3,131 yuan/ton. The profit of polysilicon enterprises is - 14.3 yuan/kg, and the profit of DMC enterprises is - 946 yuan/ton [2]. - Inventory Data: The social inventory of industrial silicon (including warehouse receipt inventory) is 54.3 million tons, the enterprise inventory is 16.3 million tons, and the industry inventory is 70.6 million tons. The warehouse receipt inventory of industrial silicon futures is 25.0 million tons, and the manufacturer inventory of polysilicon is 22.6 million tons [2]. - Raw Material Cost Data: The prices of raw materials such as silicon ore, washed coal, petroleum coke, and electrodes are provided. For example, the price of silicon ore in Xinjiang is 320 yuan/ton, and in Yunnan is 290 yuan/ton [2]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - Starting from January 1, 2027, at least 80% of photovoltaic modules entering the European Economic Area (EEA), Switzerland, and the UK must come from production bases certified by the SSI's Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) and supply - chain traceability standards. By January 1, 2028, this proportion will increase to 100%. Additionally, from April 1, 2026, SSI member enterprises must submit relevant information about their production bases to the secretariat [3][4].