Xinda Securities·2025-09-26 06:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [2] Core Insights - The CXO industry is experiencing a recovery in market conditions, driven by improvements in supply-demand dynamics and a rebound in financing activities for innovative drugs [3][4] - The CDMO sector continues to show high growth potential, with leading companies improving their performance and expanding into emerging markets [5][6] - The CRO sector is approaching a turning point, with signs of demand recovery and improved order conditions [6][7] Summary by Sections CXO Industry Overview - The CXO industry operates on a "water seller" business model, closely tied to the financing of the biopharmaceutical sector. In the first eight months of 2025, overseas innovative drug financing reached $22.6 billion, a year-on-year decline of approximately 36%, while domestic innovative drug financing amounted to $7.75 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 89% [3][31] - The leading companies in the CXO sector are expected to enter an expansion phase as demand recovers, while smaller companies may face increased competition and exit the market [4][44] CDMO Sector - CDMO leading companies have begun to see marginal improvements in performance since Q4 2024, attributed to high overseas revenue and a unique business model that supports project pipeline growth [5][46] - The order situation for CDMO companies has improved significantly, with notable increases in backlogged orders for major players like WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics [49][50] - The CDMO business model is characterized by strong customer retention and project scalability, allowing for sustained growth despite challenges in new project signings [52] CRO Sector - The CRO sector is witnessing a divergence in performance among leading companies, with some starting to recover. The overall order situation has shown improvement, indicating a potential demand revival [6][22] - The price increase of experimental monkeys suggests a forthcoming recovery in preclinical CRO demand, highlighting the importance of resource availability for leading CRO companies [6][24] - The integration of AI in drug development processes is expected to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, with many domestic CRO leaders already adopting AI technologies [7][18] Recommended Companies - The report suggests focusing on key players in the CXO sector, including WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, WuXi AppTec, and others, which are positioned well for growth based on their business characteristics and market trends [8][10]