CPEC(SH:600339) Guoxin Securities·2025-09-27 11:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company benefits from increased upstream capital expenditure, having recently signed significant contracts in the Middle East [2][3] - The Middle East is a key area for global energy development, with Iraq and the UAE expected to maintain high upstream capital expenditures [3] - The contracts signed in Iraq and the UAE will help the company consolidate and expand its market in oil and gas transportation engineering, positively impacting revenue and profit over the next 4-5 years [3] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 899.92 billion, 944.92 billion, and 982.97 billion RMB, with net profits of 7.33 billion, 8.23 billion, and 8.50 billion RMB respectively [3][7] Summary by Sections Recent Contracts - The company’s subsidiary signed an EPC contract with Iraq's Basra Oil Company for a seawater pipeline project worth 2.524 billion USD (approximately 18.032 billion RMB) [2][5] - Another EPC contract was signed with ADNOC Gas for gas pipeline projects in the UAE, valued at 513 million USD (approximately 3.688 billion RMB) [2][7] Market Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from ADNOC Gas's future investments, with ADNOC planning to invest up to 15 billion USD from 2025 to 2029 [6][7] - The GGIP project in Iraq, with an initial investment of around 10 billion USD, aims to enhance gas recovery and increase oil production, further supporting the company's growth [4] Financial Projections - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.13, 0.15, and 0.15 RMB for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26.10, 22.60, and 22.60 [3][7] - The company’s financial metrics indicate a positive trend, with projected revenue growth and improved cash flow [10]