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百合花(603823):国产颜料龙头受益“反内卷”,光刻胶业务开启第二增长曲线

Group 1 - The company is rated as "Buy" for the first time [1][8] - The report highlights that the company is a leading domestic organic pigment manufacturer with a comprehensive product range covering various application fields [6][15] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.125 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, and a net profit of 100 million yuan, a decrease of 0.67% [6][28] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that the "anti-involution" policies introduced in 2025 will benefit the chemical industry by eliminating outdated production capacity, which will enhance the company's profitability [6][36] - The company is expanding into the photoresist pigment business, which is expected to open a second growth curve, with significant market potential in the LCD and semiconductor sectors [7][49] - The company plans to invest 1 billion yuan in a project to produce high-performance organic pigments and related materials, with an expected annual output value of approximately 1.7 billion yuan upon completion [7][58] Group 3 - The company forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 207 million, 275 million, and 427 million yuan respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 17.64%, 32.96%, and 55.04% [8][60] - The projected revenue for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 25.20 billion, 27.13 billion, and 30.92 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 4.86%, 7.67%, and 13.96% [8][61] - The company maintains a competitive edge with a gross margin of 21.34% in 2025, which is expected to increase to 25.85% by 2027 [33][61]