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基础化工行业周报(20250922-20250926):终端需求扩增,国产替代推进,持续关注半导体材料-20250927
EBSCN·2025-09-27 12:56

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the semiconductor materials sector [6] Core Viewpoints - Terminal demand is expanding, with the global semiconductor industry continuing to improve. In the first half of 2025, demand from AI computing, data centers, and intelligent driving is expected to drive growth, following a recovery in 2024. The industry chain remains robust [1] - Global semiconductor sales are projected to reach approximately $405 billion in the first seven months of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.4%. The Chinese market is expected to grow to about $113.5 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 11.1% [1] - The semiconductor materials market is set to grow significantly, with a forecasted global market size of $70 billion in 2025, reflecting a 6% year-on-year increase. The Chinese market for key materials is expected to reach approximately 174.08 billion yuan, growing by 21.1% [2][4] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Industry Overview - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $700.9 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.2%. The Asia-Pacific region is expected to account for about $370.6 billion, growing by 9.8% [1] - By 2026, the global semiconductor market is anticipated to further increase to $760.7 billion, with an 8.5% year-on-year growth [1] Capacity Expansion and Material Demand - The expansion of wafer production capacity is accelerating, particularly in advanced processes. By 2028, global monthly capacity for 12-inch wafers is expected to reach 11.1 million pieces, with a CAGR of approximately 7% from 2024 to 2028 [2] - The demand for semiconductor materials is expected to rise significantly, driven by increased wafer production capacity [2] Domestic Technological Advancements - Significant progress has been made in domestic semiconductor equipment, with Shanghai Microelectronics showcasing EUV lithography machine parameters, marking a breakthrough in high-end lithography technology [3] Market Growth in Specific Segments - The market for photolithography resists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases is steadily growing. The demand for wet electronic chemicals is projected to reach 4.685 million tons in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 3.9% [4] - The global market for electronic specialty gases is expected to reach $6.4 billion in 2025, growing by 6.7% year-on-year, while the Chinese market is projected to reach 27.9 billion yuan, with a growth of 6.3% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in core material sectors such as photolithography resists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases, which possess technological advantages and customer validation [5]