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通信行业三季度前瞻及观点更新-20250928
HUAXI Securities·2025-09-28 11:07

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential growth of the Beidou satellite navigation system and its applications in various sectors, including telecommunications, smart grid, and emergency response, indicating a multi-faceted development landscape [1][6] - The report highlights the increasing focus on domestic AI computing power, driven by significant growth in companies like Alibaba Cloud and Huawei, suggesting a robust acceleration in the scale and application of domestic AI computing [2][11] - The telecommunications operators are positioned to leverage their natural advantages in network operations and customer integration to promote satellite technology penetration, with a stable profit outlook supported by AI empowerment and cost reduction [8][9] Summary by Sections Beidou and Satellite Applications - The Beidou system is expected to upgrade significantly, with a projected annual growth rate of over 3% in applications, leading to an estimated 420 million new devices by 2028 [6] - The report notes that the telecommunications operators are crucial in expanding satellite applications, with traditional mobile business revenues under pressure but new opportunities arising from AI and satellite communications [7][8] AI Computing Power - The report recommends focusing on domestic AI computing power, with key beneficiaries including Cambrian, Moer Thread, and SMIC, as the industry anticipates accelerated growth in AI applications [2][11] - The demand for optical modules and components is expected to rise due to AI computing needs, with companies like LightSpeed Technology and Huagong Technology positioned to benefit [12][13] Telecommunications Sector - The report identifies telecommunications operators as key players in the AI and computing infrastructure space, with a focus on cloud and smart upgrades, benefiting from the "East Data West Computing" strategy [9][18] - The report suggests that the telecommunications sector is at a turning point, with traditional revenue streams under pressure but new growth areas emerging in satellite and IoT applications [8][18] Edge Computing and Security - The edge computing sector is anticipated to see renewed growth opportunities, with companies like Wangsu Technology and Yuke Technology highlighted as beneficiaries [20][21] - The report also emphasizes the importance of information security, recommending companies like Unisplendour and Qihoo 360 as key players in this space [21]