资产配置周报：以质换量，带动工业企业利润回升-20250928

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the shift from quantity to quality, driving a recovery in industrial enterprise profits. In the first eight months of 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 0.9% year-on-year, a significant improvement from the previous -1.7%. Notably, in August, profits turned from a decline of 1.5% to a growth of 20.4% year-on-year [7][8][10] - The report suggests a focus on midstream sectors such as non-ferrous metal processing, chemicals, and steel, as the recovery in profits is expected to continue in the downstream manufacturing sector due to improved inventory management and lower raw material costs [7][10][11] Group 2 - In the domestic equity market, the growth style outperformed other styles, with an average daily trading volume of 22,951 billion yuan. Among the 31 primary industries, 7 saw gains while 24 experienced declines, with notable increases in power equipment (+3.86%), non-ferrous metals (+3.52%), and electronics (+3.51%) [18][19] - The report highlights the performance of the A-share market, particularly the technology sector, which has been buoyed by government policies aimed at stabilizing growth in key industries [10][11] Group 3 - The report indicates that the tightening of interbank liquidity is a concern due to the approaching quarter-end and holiday, but the central bank's liquidity management has alleviated some of this pressure. The focus remains on monitoring the scale of open market operations and changes in funding prices to assess the potential for policy easing [8][19][20] - The bond market is showing signs of sensitivity to the stock market's performance, with short-term yields rising and long-term yields remaining stable. The report suggests that there are emerging opportunities for mid-to-long-term bond investments due to supportive macroeconomic factors [19][24] Group 4 - In the commodities market, the report notes that oil, gold, and copper prices have risen, while aluminum prices have declined. The geopolitical situation has influenced oil and gold prices, but there are expectations of increased production from OPEC+, which may affect supply-demand dynamics [10][11][27] - The report tracks the performance of WTI crude oil, which rose to $65.72 per barrel, and highlights the increase in U.S. crude oil production and refinery throughput, indicating a robust energy sector [27][28]