Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 16.43 CNY, based on a PEG valuation method [6][4]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leader in the variable frequency transformer market, benefiting from the steady growth in demand for high-voltage variable frequency drives driven by energy efficiency needs and policy support [2][40]. - The company has a strong market presence with over 25% market share in the variable frequency transformer sector, being one of the earliest manufacturers in China [2][47]. - The company is expanding into new business areas such as data centers, with products like phase-shifting transformers and solid-state transformers under development, which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [3][50]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1985, the company specializes in various types of special transformers, power transformers, reactors, and energy storage products, with a focus on variable frequency transformers [1][13]. - The company has a concentrated ownership structure, with the actual controllers holding 56.75% of the shares [13]. Main Business - The company is a leading manufacturer of variable frequency transformers, which are essential components of high-voltage variable frequency drives, accounting for approximately 29% of their cost structure [2][44]. - The demand for high-voltage variable frequency drives is expected to continue growing, which will drive the demand for variable frequency transformers upward [2][42]. Incremental Business - Data Centers - The company is developing products for data centers, including phase-shifting transformers and solid-state transformers, which are anticipated to enhance efficiency and meet the evolving needs of modern data centers [3][50]. - The phase-shifting transformer is already being applied in Panama's power supply systems, demonstrating significant efficiency improvements [51]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 478.3 million, 623.4 million, and 833.18 million CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 26.9%, 30.3%, and 33.6% respectively [4][5]. - The company is expected to return to profitability in 2025, with a net profit forecast of 42.4 million CNY, following a loss in 2024 [4][36].
新特电气（301120）：前瞻布局数据中心等新行业，打开新增量可期