Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is a leading domestic manufacturer of harmonic reducers, poised to benefit from the growth of the industrial robot market and the increasing demand for humanoid robots [3][5] - The company has a high technical barrier and significant potential for expansion in application scenarios, particularly in humanoid robots, where it has a competitive advantage over planetary and RV reducers [3][4] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been deeply engaged in the reducer field for over 30 years, with a comprehensive product line and has become a standard setter in the industry [14] - The company has developed its own P gear design and has broken the foreign monopoly in the domestic market, achieving a 26% market share in 2023 [4][9] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 251 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.82%, and a net profit of 53 million yuan, also up 45.87% [4][25] - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 387.41 million yuan in 2024 to 919.38 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing from 118 million yuan to 177 million yuan [5][7] Market Potential - The harmonic reducer market is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing demand for industrial robots, with the market size projected to reach 151 billion yuan by 2025 [47][48] - The company is well-positioned to capture market share as the demand for humanoid robots and automation solutions rises, driven by factors such as population aging and rising labor costs [50][51] Product Segmentation - In 2024, the revenue composition of the company was 3.25 billion yuan from harmonic reducers, 0.53 billion yuan from mechatronic products, and 0.05 billion yuan from intelligent automation equipment, indicating that harmonic reducers are the primary revenue source [20][21] - The gross margin for harmonic reducers is projected to be around 34.33% in H1 2025, while mechatronic products maintain a higher gross margin of approximately 39.58% [28][29] Competitive Landscape - The company holds a significant share of the domestic harmonic reducer market and is expected to continue expanding its customer base, including major global clients [4][5] - The company has a stable and concentrated shareholding structure, which supports governance continuity and strategic stability [23][24]
绿的谐波(688017):国产谐波减速器龙头启航,乘机器人东风打开成长新纪元