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计算机行业深度:国产ASIC:PD分离和超节点—ASIC系列研究之四
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-29 01:54

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant advantages of ASIC over GPU in terms of cost-effectiveness and energy efficiency, marking a turning point for ASIC development [5][15] - The increasing penetration of AI is driving a surge in inference demand, expanding the market space for ASICs, with projections indicating the global AI ASIC market could reach $125 billion by 2028 [6][15] - The report emphasizes the importance of ASIC design service providers, noting that companies like Broadcom and Marvell hold significant market shares and are crucial for the successful deployment of ASIC technology [6][15] Summary by Sections Computer Industry Deep Dive - ASICs are specialized chips tightly coupled with downstream applications, focusing on specific needs like text and video inference, while GPUs are general-purpose [5][15] - ASICs demonstrate superior energy efficiency, with Google's TPU v5 showing 1.46 times the efficiency of NVIDIA's H200, and Amazon's Trainium2 reducing training costs by 40% compared to GPU solutions [5][15] - The demand for inference capabilities is expected to grow significantly, driven by applications like ChatGPT, which reached 700 million weekly active users by July 2025 [6][15] Market Trends - The report forecasts that the AI ASIC market will see substantial growth, with Broadcom estimating a serviceable market for large clients of $60-90 billion by 2027 [6][15] - Domestic cloud providers are increasingly investing in self-developed ASICs, with companies like Baidu and Alibaba making significant advancements in their chip development [15][16] - The report identifies two core trends in the development of domestic ASICs: PD separation and super nodes, which enhance performance and adaptability to diverse industry needs [15][16] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong self-developed technology platforms in the small nucleic acid drug sector, highlighting firms like Rebio and Hengrui Medicine as potential investment opportunities [17] - It also recommends monitoring the performance of companies involved in the aluminum electronic materials sector, particularly Xinjiang Zhonghe, which is expected to benefit from its integrated supply chain and new alumina projects [18][20] - The report indicates that the data center industry, particularly companies like GDS Holdings, is poised for growth due to increasing demand for AI infrastructure and cloud services [21][23]