Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Industrial Silicon and Lithium Carbonate Futures Weekly Report [2] - Report Date: September 29 - 30, 2025 [1] Group 2: Industrial Silicon Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: Industrial silicon futures are currently in a large - range oscillatory operation [7] - Trend Logic: Last week, the spot price of industrial silicon increased. As of September 26, the price of 421 in Xinjiang was 9300 yuan/ton, 9900 yuan/ton in Yunnan, and 10000 yuan/ton in Sichuan. The AI intelligent investment consultation variety diagnosis report of Great Wall Futures showed that the daily price of industrial silicon was in a sideways phase. In terms of funds, the main short - selling camp had a slight advantage [7] - Mid - term Strategy: It is expected that the operating range of the industrial silicon 2511 contract will be between 7700 and 10000 [8] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy: Industrial silicon was in a large - range operation, with a focus on buying on dips [11] - This Week's Strategy: To control the uncertainty risk during the National Day holiday, it is recommended to hold a light position or be out of the market during the holiday [12] 3. Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the cathode copper inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 300,045 tons, an increase of 322 tons from the previous week. Seasonally, the current inventory was at a relatively high level compared to the past five years [14] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME copper inventory was 122,125 tons, and the proportion of cancelled warrants was 25.73%. Seasonally, the current inventory was at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [17] Group 3: Lithium Carbonate Futures 1. Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: Lithium carbonate futures are currently in a large - range oscillatory operation [32] - Trend Logic: Last week, the spot price of lithium carbonate remained stable. As of September 26, the market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 73,250 yuan/ton, and the market price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 71,600 yuan/ton. The AI intelligent investment consultation variety diagnosis report of Great Wall Futures showed that the daily price of lithium carbonate futures was in a sideways phase. In terms of funds, the main force showed a strong bullish sentiment [33] - Mid - term Strategy: It is expected that the lithium carbonate 2511 contract will operate in the range of 65,000 to 100,000 [33] 2. Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy: Consider grid trading within the range for lithium carbonate [36] - This Week's Strategy: To control the uncertainty risk during the National Day holiday, it is recommended to hold a light position or be out of the market during the holiday [37] 3. Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the electrolytic aluminum inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 228,537 tons, a decrease of 3,228 tons from the previous week. Seasonally, the current inventory was at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [40] - As of April 19, 2024, the LME aluminum inventory was 504,000 tons, and the proportion of cancelled warrants was 66.03%. Seasonally, the current inventory was at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [42]
工业硅、碳酸锂期货品种周报-20250929
Chang Cheng Qi Huo·2025-09-29 03:00