Bank of China Securities·2025-09-29 06:32Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - Crude oil freight rates are fluctuating at high levels while container shipping rates on long-distance routes are declining [3][14] - The first hybrid tilt-rotor unmanned aerial vehicle (eVTOL) model has been accepted for certification by the Southwest Regional Administration of Civil Aviation of China, and a collaboration between Saudi Arabia and Ehang is planned to launch autonomous aerial vehicles and air taxi services [3][16] - China's first national standard for logistics enterprise digitization has been officially released, and the "Parallel Port" logistics model has achieved a cargo throughput of over 760,000 tons in its first year of operation [3][24] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates are experiencing high volatility, with the China Import Crude Oil Composite Index (CTFI) reported at 1908.03 points, down 3.4% from September 18 [3][14] - Container shipping rates are declining, with the Shanghai port export rate to Europe at $971/TEU, down 7.7%, and to the US West and East coasts at $1460/FEU and $2385/FEU, down 10.8% and 6.7% respectively [3][15] - The DF600 unmanned aerial vehicle has received certification acceptance, marking a significant step in the eVTOL sector [3][16] - The "Parallel Port" logistics model has successfully handled 760,000 tons of cargo, significantly improving logistics efficiency [3][25] 2. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - Air cargo prices remain stable, with the Shanghai outbound air freight price index at 4516.00 points, down 6.6% year-on-year [4][26] - Domestic freight volumes for August 2025 increased by 12.29% year-on-year, with total express delivery volume reaching 16.15 billion pieces [4][50] - The shipping market shows a mixed trend, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) at 2259 points, up 2.54% week-on-week [4][44] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping Specialized, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - Attention to the transportation demand increase driven by hydropower station construction in the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream area, recommending Sichuan Chengyu, Chongqing Port, and Fulimin Transportation [5] - Opportunities in the low-altitude economy sector, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Investment opportunities in the highway and railway sectors, recommending Gansu Guangdong Expressway, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, and others [5] - The cruise and water ferry sector is highlighted, recommending Bohai Ferry and Straits Shares [5] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities are recommended, including SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda Shares [5] - Opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending China National Aviation, Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and others [5]