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到2035年新能源汽车将成主流
Dong Zheng Qi Huo·2025-09-29 11:14
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - By 2035, new energy vehicles will become the mainstream of newly sold vehicles in China, with the net greenhouse gas emissions in the entire economic scope decreasing by 7%-10% from the peak, non-fossil energy consumption accounting for over 30% of the total energy consumption, and other goals to be achieved [1][109][118]. - The penetration rate of the Chinese new energy vehicle market exceeded 30% in 2023 and 50% in 2024. In 2025, high - competitiveness new car products are continuously launched, and price wars are gradually stopped. Overseas markets face trade protectionism in Europe and the United States, so attention should be paid to new growth points such as countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East. The market share of independent brands continues to expand [3][120]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Tracking - The one - week price changes of related sectors and listed companies are presented in charts. For example, BYD's one - week price decline was 1.65%, while Seres' was 9.48% [12][15]. 3.2产业链数据跟踪 3.2.1 China New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - Sales and Exports: Data on China's new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, domestic sales, exports, and sales of EV and PHV are presented in charts [16][21][23]. - Inventory Changes: Charts show the monthly new additions to new energy passenger vehicle channel inventory and manufacturer inventory [24][25]. - Delivery Volumes of Chinese New Energy Vehicle Enterprises: Monthly delivery volumes of enterprises such as Leapmotor, Li Auto, XPeng, NIO, etc., are presented in charts [27][28][32]. 3.2.2 Global and Overseas New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - Global Market: From January to July, global new energy vehicle sales reached 9.233 million, a year - on - year increase of 25.9%. Except for China, Europe and other regions also had significant growth, with year - on - year increases of 29.5% and 53.4% respectively [2]. - European Market: Data on European new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in countries like the UK, Germany, and France are presented in charts [44][50][55]. - North American Market: In August, US new energy vehicle sales and penetration rate reached record highs. Due to the expiration of the federal electric vehicle tax credit on September 30, high market enthusiasm is expected to continue in September, followed by a sharp decline. Data on North American new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV are presented in charts [2][119]. - Other Regions: Data on new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in regions such as Japan, South Korea, and Thailand are presented in charts [62][70][72]. 3.2.3 Power Battery Industry Chain - Data on power battery installation volume, export volume, weekly average price of battery cells, material costs, and the operating rates and prices of various battery materials are presented in charts [79][81][85]. 3.2.4 Other Upstream Raw Materials - Data on the daily prices of rubber, glass, steel, and aluminum are presented in charts [102][103][104]. 3.3 Hot News Summaries 3.3.1 China: Policy Dynamics - By 2035, new energy vehicles will become the mainstream of newly sold vehicles in China. From 2026, export license management will be implemented for pure - electric passenger vehicles [109]. 3.3.2 China: Industry Dynamics - From September 1 - 21, new energy vehicle retail sales increased by 10% year - on - year, and cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year increased by 24%. In the 38th week (September 15 - 21), new energy passenger vehicle retail sales were 299,000, a year - on - year increase of 5.9%, and cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year were 8.214 million, a year - on - year increase of 23.0% [111][112][113]. 3.3.3 China: Enterprise Dynamics - Chery Automobile was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising HK$9.14 billion. Li Auto and Sunwoda Power jointly established a battery company [114]. 3.3.4 Overseas: Policy Dynamics - Australia announced a 2035 emission reduction target, aiming to reduce emissions by 62 - 70% compared to 2005. The US lowered the import tariff on EU cars to 15%, and Turkey imposed new tariffs on imported passenger cars [114][116][119]. 3.3.5 Overseas: Enterprise Dynamics - BYD's Brazilian factory obtained an international green certificate. Porsche adjusted its product strategy, slowing down electrification and lowering its 2025 performance expectations [117][118]. 3.4 Investment Advice - Pay attention to new growth points such as countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East. Focus on enterprises with strong product capabilities, smooth overseas expansion, and stable supply [3][120].