GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-29 11:24Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry [4][18]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot sector is gaining attention, particularly showcased at the 2025 Shanghai Industrial Expo, indicating a growing demand for innovative technologies [2][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying high-cost performance technology routes similar to lithium iron phosphate batteries in the electric vehicle sector, and companies with inherent advantages like CATL [18][17]. - The domestic passenger car market is facing increased competition as the effects of vehicle replacement programs diminish, leading to a recommendation for companies that focus on differentiated competition [18][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Weekly Market Review - The automotive index remained flat over the past week, while the new energy vehicle index fell by 2%. The commercial vehicle index decreased by 3% [2][7]. - Over the past month, the automotive index increased by 5%, while the new energy vehicle index decreased by 2% [8][9]. 2. Investment Strategy and Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies like Dechang Motor Holdings and Haoneng Co., which are positioned to benefit from the humanoid robot supply chain [18][19]. - It highlights the potential of companies like Great Wall Motors, SAIC Motor, and JAC Motors in the competitive passenger car market [18][19]. - Recommendations for the heavy truck market include China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, Foton Motor, and Weichai Power, which are expected to benefit from industry upgrades [18][19]. - In the automotive parts sector, companies like Nexteer Automotive and Asia-Pacific Holdings are recommended due to their growth potential [18][19]. 3. Passenger Car Weekly Sales - From September 1 to 21, 2025, retail sales of passenger cars reached 1.191 million units, a year-on-year increase of 1% [15]. - The retail penetration rate for new energy vehicles reached 58.5%, with cumulative retail sales of 8.267 million units this year, reflecting a 24% year-on-year growth [15][18]. 4. Humanoid Robots at the Expo - The report notes the participation of several humanoid robot manufacturers at the Shanghai Industrial Expo, showcasing advancements in robotics technology [16][17]. - Companies like Xynova Future are highlighted for their comprehensive production capabilities in the humanoid robot sector, indicating a trend towards innovation and cost efficiency [17][18].