Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" and has been maintained from the previous rating [7] Core Viewpoints - The blood purification industry in China is experiencing stable growth driven by strong supply and demand dynamics, with a market size CAGR of 5.67% from 2019 to 2023, and an expected CAGR of 21.52% from 2023 to 2027 [10] - The report emphasizes the potential for domestic manufacturers to replace imports, focusing on large single products, diversification, and international expansion [10] Industry Overview - The blood dialysis market is expanding, with the number of ESRD patients rapidly increasing, leading to a steady rise in dialysis demand. The number of patients receiving blood and peritoneal dialysis in China grew from 579,000 and 95,000 in 2018 to 917,000 and 153,000 in 2023, respectively [10][30] - The market for blood dialysis devices and consumables is expected to continue growing, with the blood dialysis machine market projected to reach 8.17 billion RMB by 2030 [22] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand side is supported by the increasing number of ESRD patients and improved medical payment capabilities, while the supply side benefits from the growing number of domestic manufacturers and supportive industry policies [10][30] - The report highlights that the domestic market is still dominated by foreign brands, but local companies are gradually increasing their market share [43][47] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong international potential, comprehensive product matrices, and competitive single products, such as Sanwa, Baolait, Weigao Blood Purification, and others [10][30] - The report identifies three main investment themes: international expansion, product matrix improvement, and strong single product competitiveness [10] Policy Support - A series of government policies have been introduced to support the blood purification industry, including funding, tax incentives, and industry planning, which are expected to drive demand growth [55][57] - The report notes that centralized procurement of blood purification consumables has been implemented, leading to significant price reductions [57]
血液透析行业报告:国产替代正当时,看好大单品、多元化和出海方向