宝城期货豆类油脂早报（2025年9月30日）-20250930

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The short - term and intraday views of soybean meal, soybean oil, and palm oil are all "oscillating weakly", and the medium - term views are all "oscillating". The overall market sentiment is weak as the National Day holiday approaches, with market volatility decreasing and funds showing risk - aversion [5][7][8] Group 3: Summary by Variety Soybean Meal (M) - Intraday view: Oscillating weakly; Medium - term view: Oscillating; Reference view: Oscillating weakly. With the approaching of the National Day holiday, the market sentiment has weakened, the price fluctuation of soybean products has narrowed, the domestic supply pressure remains unresolved, the downstream pre - holiday stocking is basically over, the inventory pressure of oil mills' soybean meal still exists, and the negative basis has not been repaired [5] Palm Oil (P) - Intraday view: Oscillating weakly; Medium - term view: Oscillating; Reference view: Oscillating weakly. The sharp decline in international oil prices has dragged down the oil market. Although the palm oil industry chain still has support, as the holiday approaches, market funds are risk - averse, resulting in the short - term palm oil futures price oscillating weakly [8] Others - For soybean meal 2601, factors affecting the market include import arrival rhythm, customs clearance inspection, oil mill operation rhythm, and stocking demand. For soybean oil 2601, factors include US biofuel policy, US soybean oil inventory, domestic soybean cost support, supply rhythm, and oil mill inventory. For palm 2601, factors include biodiesel attributes, Malaysian palm production and exports, Indonesian exports, main - producing countries' tariff policies, domestic arrival and inventory, and substitution demand [7]