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金融期货早班车-20250930
Zhao Shang Qi Huo·2025-09-30 02:19

Report Summary 1. Market Performance - On September 29, A-share major indices all rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.9% to 3862.53, the Shenzhen Component Index up 2.05% to 13479.43, the ChiNext Index up 2.74% to 3238.01, and the STAR 50 Index up 1.35% to 1470.41. Market turnover was 2178.1 billion yuan, an increase of 12 billion yuan from the previous day [2]. - In the bond market, the implied yields of 2-year, 5-year, 10-year, and 30-year bonds showed different changes, with the 2-year up 0.8bps, the 5-year up 0.48bps, the 10-year down 3.42bps, and the 30-year up 5.89bps [3]. 2. Trading Strategies - In the medium to long term, maintain a bullish view on the economy, and recommend buying long-term contracts of various varieties on dips. In the short term, the market shows signs of cooling [3]. - For bond futures, short-term is bullish as the implied yield of ultra-long bonds at 2.2 is cost-effective; in the medium to long term, with rising risk appetite and economic recovery expectations, it is recommended to hedge T and TL contracts on rallies [4]. 3. Index Futures and Spot Market Performance - Table 1 shows the performance of various index futures and spot indices, including their price changes, trading volumes, and open interests [6]. 4. Treasury Futures and Spot Market Performance - Table 2 presents the performance of various treasury futures and spot bonds, including price changes, trading volumes, and net basis [8]. 5. Short - term Funding Rate Market Changes - Table 3 shows the changes in short - term funding rates, such as SHIBOR overnight rates [12]. 6. Economic Data - High - frequency data indicates that the recent social activity sentiment is weak [12].