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环球市场动态:“十五五”政策与增长展望
citic securities·2025-09-30 03:32

Market Performance - The Asia-Pacific stock markets showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.89% to 26,622 points, and the Shanghai Composite Index increasing 1.5% to 4,620 points[20] - The US stock market saw the Dow Jones rise 0.15% to 46,316 points, the S&P 500 up 0.26% to 6,661 points, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.48% to 22,591 points[9] - Major Latin American indices also rose, with the S&P Mexico IPC Index up 0.49% to 62,610 points and the IBOVESPA Index in Brazil increasing 0.61% to 146,336 points[9] Economic Outlook - China's economy is projected to maintain an average annual growth rate of approximately 4%-4.5% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period to achieve the goal of doubling economic output and per capita income by 2035[6] - The US government shutdown risk is increasing, which is affecting market sentiment and leading to a decline in the US dollar index by 0.3%[26] Commodity and Currency Movements - International oil prices fell over 3%, with NYMEX crude oil down 3.45% to $63.45 per barrel[26] - The international gold price reached a new high, reflecting increased demand amid government shutdown concerns[26] - The Japanese yen led G-10 currencies with a rise against the US dollar, which fell to 97.91[25] Sector Performance - In the US, nine out of eleven S&P sectors rose, with the consumer discretionary sector leading with a gain of 0.55%[9] - The healthcare and luxury goods sectors performed well in Europe, supporting the rise of major European indices[9] Individual Stock Highlights - Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is expected to enter a new product cycle with the anticipated release of major titles, projecting a target price of $316[9] - EA (Electronic Arts) shares surged 4.50% following news of a $55 billion privatization deal, marking the largest leveraged buyout in history[9]