Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [6] Core Viewpoints - NAND Flash prices are expected to rise by 5-10% in Q4 2025 due to the spillover effect from QLC products, with an average price fluctuation of 1.12% observed in the previous week [1] - DRAM prices have shown a significant increase, with an average fluctuation of 7.83% in the last week, driven by strong demand in the data center sector, particularly for AI servers [2] - HBM chips are in high demand and are projected to be a core growth driver in the storage sector by 2026, as supply-demand imbalances are expected to worsen [2] Summary by Sections NAND Market - TrendForce predicts a 5-10% price increase for NAND Flash in Q4 2025, influenced by the demand for QLC products [1] - The previous week saw price fluctuations for 22 NAND categories ranging from -1.64% to 2.74%, with 19 categories experiencing price increases [1] DRAM Market - Micron has raised its forecast for server shipment growth in 2025 to approximately 10%, driven by traditional and AI server demand [2] - The last week recorded DRAM price fluctuations between 3.22% and 11.07%, with all 18 categories showing an upward trend [2] HBM Market - Micron's CEO indicated that HBM chip supply will be insufficient, with significant demand growth expected in 2026, outpacing overall DRAM growth [2] Market Dynamics - The embedded NAND and LPDDR4X products have seen widespread price increases due to rising upstream costs and strong market demand [3] - The market sentiment for LPDDR4X has turned bullish, with expectations of significant price hikes following a period of price stability [3] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook on the HBM industry chain and the semiconductor cycle recovery, recommending stocks such as Saiteng Co., Yishitong, and others [4] - For storage chips, the report suggests focusing on companies like Dongxin Co. and others, as the industry is expected to rebound due to supply-driven price increases and rising AI-related demand [4]
存储芯片周度跟踪:LPDDR4X成品普涨,Q4NAND或涨5-10%-20250930