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液冷行业梳理-20250930
Tianfeng Securities·2025-09-30 07:42

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at Neutral, consistent with the previous rating [3]. Core Insights - The liquid cooling technology is driven by the increasing power density of data center cabinets, which necessitates more efficient heat dissipation methods. Liquid cooling offers advantages such as lower energy consumption, higher cooling efficiency, lower noise, and lower total cost of ownership (TCO) compared to traditional air cooling [4][12]. - The Chinese liquid cooling server market is projected to grow significantly, reaching a market size of $2.37 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 46.8% from 2024 to 2029, ultimately reaching $16.2 billion by 2029 [4][33][57]. - The global data center cooling market is expected to grow from $7.67 billion in 2023 to approximately $16.87 billion by 2028, with liquid cooling technology's market share increasing from 13% to 33% during the same period [33][36]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Development of Liquid Cooling Technology - The shift towards high-density and energy-efficient data centers necessitates the adoption of liquid cooling solutions, especially when cabinet power density exceeds 20KW [11][12]. - The average power density of global data center cabinets has increased from 5.6KW in 2017 to 12.8KW in 2023, with supercomputing centers requiring over 30KW [11][12]. Section 2: Liquid Cooling Efficiency and Cost Advantages - Liquid cooling systems demonstrate superior cooling capabilities compared to air cooling, with a cost of approximately 11,818 RMB per KW, leading to annual savings of about 1.84 million RMB compared to air cooling [17][12]. - NVIDIA's liquid-cooled data centers can achieve a Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of 1.15, significantly lower than the 1.6 PUE typical of air-cooled systems [11][12]. Section 3: Types of Liquid Cooling Technologies - Liquid cooling technologies are categorized into contact and non-contact types, with single-phase cold plate liquid cooling being the most mature and widely adopted solution [52][32]. - Immersion cooling, which can be single-phase or two-phase, is gaining traction due to its energy efficiency and compact design, with the market for immersion cooling servers expected to grow from $1.2 million in 2024 to $48.6 million by 2029 [55][57]. Section 4: Market Growth Projections - The Chinese liquid cooling server market is expected to maintain rapid growth, with a projected market size of $2.37 billion in 2024, reflecting a 67% increase from 2023 [36][57]. - The global data center liquid cooling market is anticipated to grow from $1 billion in 2023 to approximately $5.6 billion by 2028, indicating a strong upward trend in adoption [33][36]. Section 5: Key Companies and Products - Companies such as Juhua Co., Yonghe Co., New Zobang, Huayi Group, and others are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for fluorinated liquids used in immersion cooling systems, especially following 3M's exit from the PFAS production market [66][67].