BAOWU MAGNESIUM(SZ:002182) Orient Securities·2025-09-30 07:55Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 18.2 yuan based on a 35 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [3][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in net profit from 317 million yuan in 2025 to 767 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 98.6% and 63.7% respectively [3]. - The report highlights the rapid release of production capacity and the overall advancement of the magnesium industry chain, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 7,652 million yuan in 2023 to 13,621 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.1% [5]. - Operating profit is expected to increase from 368 million yuan in 2023 to 875 million yuan in 2027, with a notable growth of 49.2% in 2027 [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 306 million yuan in 2023 to 781 million yuan in 2027, with a significant recovery expected in 2025 [5]. Market and Industry Insights - The report notes that the price of magnesium is becoming more competitive, which is likely to accelerate market penetration [9]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the rising demand for magnesium alloys in electric bicycles, driven by new regulations that impose stricter weight limits [9]. - Breakthroughs in die-casting technology are expected to enhance the company's magnesium alloy deep processing business, leading to increased demand for magnesium components in the automotive sector [9].