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中国电建(601669):动态跟踪点评:能源电力订单同比增长,海外业务持续开花结果

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][11] Core Views - The company has signed 3,579 new energy and power projects with a total contract value of 516.24 billion RMB from January to August 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.3% [1] - The overseas business has shown rapid growth, with new contracts amounting to 179.84 billion RMB, up 21.9% year-on-year [2] - The company has achieved significant growth in its electricity investment and operation business, with a total installed capacity of 35.16 million kilowatts as of June 2025, including wind power capacity of 10.83 million kilowatts, solar power capacity of 13.04 million kilowatts, and hydropower capacity of 7.09 million kilowatts [3] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The company signed 692 new hydropower projects with a contract value of 123.54 billion RMB, up 58.88% year-on-year, and 811 new wind power projects with a contract value of 166.26 billion RMB, up 61.27% year-on-year [1] - In August alone, the company signed 24 projects with individual contract values exceeding 500 million RMB, an increase of 2 projects from the previous month [1] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 12.30 billion RMB, 13.50 billion RMB, and 13.89 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.4%, 9.8%, and 2.9% [3][4] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are 0.71 RMB, 0.78 RMB, and 0.81 RMB [3][4] Key Data - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 608.44 billion RMB in 2023 to 733.55 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.5% [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 7.4 in 2023 to 6.9 in 2027, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [4]