环保行业跟踪周报：中国宣布新一轮国家自主贡献，明确2035年阶段性目标、能源结构优化进阶-20250930

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Insights - China has announced a new round of national contributions, setting clear targets for 2035, including a 7%-10% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from peak levels and increasing the share of non-fossil energy consumption to over 30% [9][10]. - The report highlights significant improvements in the solid waste sector, with a focus on increased cash flow and dividend payouts due to reduced capital expenditures [14][15]. - The water services sector is positioned as the next growth area, with expectations of improved cash flow and dividend potential as capital expenditures decrease [18][19]. - The sanitation equipment market is experiencing rapid growth in electric vehicle penetration, with a 69.34% increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles [20][21]. Summary by Sections National Contributions and Targets - China's new targets include a 7%-10% reduction in total greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 and a commitment to increase non-fossil energy consumption to over 30% [9][10]. - The total installed capacity for wind and solar energy is expected to reach 360 million kilowatts by 2035, requiring an annual increase of nearly 200 million kilowatts [10]. Solid Waste Sector - The solid waste sector is seeing improved cash flow and dividend payouts, with significant government subsidies received in mid-2025 [14][15]. - Companies like Junxin and Green Power are expected to continue increasing their dividend payouts due to improved financial performance [14]. Water Services Sector - The water services sector is anticipated to follow the solid waste sector's growth trajectory, with a focus on cash flow improvements and high dividend yields [18][19]. - Companies such as Yuehai Investment and Xirong Environment are highlighted for their strong dividend potential and market positioning [19]. Sanitation Equipment Market - The sanitation equipment market is witnessing a surge in new energy vehicle sales, with a 69.34% year-on-year increase in sales [20][21]. - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles has increased to 16.71%, indicating a growing trend towards electrification in the sector [20][21].