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三季度成长板块领涨市场
Tebon Securities·2025-09-30 13:24

Market Analysis - The A-share market showed a mixed upward trend, with the ChiNext and Sci-Tech 50 indices both rising approximately 50% in the third quarter, indicating strong investor preference for technology growth sectors [6][12] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.52% to 3882.78 points, while the overall market turnover was about 2.20 trillion yuan, reflecting cautious profit-taking behavior ahead of the holidays [6][12] - The technology sector, particularly semiconductor and lithium battery equipment, continued to attract significant capital, while defensive sectors like finance faced pressure [6][12] Bond Market - The bond market saw a rebound after reaching new lows, with the 10-year and 30-year treasury futures closing at 107.845 yuan and 113.90 yuan, respectively, indicating a stable short-term sentiment [9][10] - The overall funding environment was loose, with the 7-day Shibor rate declining by 11.8 basis points to 1.41%, suggesting a balanced supply-demand situation for funds [9][10] Commodity Market - The commodity market displayed significant divergence, with precious metals like gold and silver showing strong upward trends, while black metals faced notable declines [10][11] - The South China Commodity Index fell by 0.75%, with energy and black products experiencing substantial drops, indicating a shift in market focus from policy expectations to actual policy effects [10][11] Trading Hotspots - Key investment themes include precious metals driven by central bank purchases and Federal Reserve rate cuts, artificial intelligence due to accelerated capital expenditures by tech giants, and domestic chip production driven by technological breakthroughs [11][12] - The report suggests a potential shift in market style from "technology-led" to "balanced allocation," with continued strong performance expected from specific segments within the technology sector [12]