固定收益部市场日报-20251008

Report Overview - The report is a fixed income daily market update by CMBI, covering trading desk comments, macro news, and analysis of various bonds and new issues [1][2] Trading Desk Comments - On Monday, trading flows were light due to holidays in mainland China, Taiwan, and Korea [2] - Asian institutions sold French names like BNP, ACAFP, and SOCGEN, as well as Japanese and Yankee AT1s and insurance hybrids [2] - In Greater China, ZHOSHK 28 tightened 2bps, and EHICAR 26 - 27s were unchanged to 1.1pts higher [2] - In properties, FAEACO 12.814 Perp rose 14.7pts after the coupon deferral notice deadline passed [2] - NWDEVL Perps were unchanged to 0.2pt higher, and NWDEVL 27 - 31s were 0.2pt lower to 0.3pt higher [2] - HYSAN 4.85 Perp was up 0.3pt, and VNKRLE 27 - 29s lowered 0.2 - 0.4pt [2] - FUTLAN 28/FTLNHD 26/LNGFOR 27 - 32s were 0.2pt lower to 0.2pt higher [2] - In Southeast Asia, GARUDA 31s rose 0.9pt, and VLLPM were down 0.2 - 1.0pt [2] - VEDLN 28 - 33s were unchanged to 0.1pt lower [2] - In LGFV space, TAIANH 6.9 07/16/28 and FZSZJJ 7 12/27/27 leaked 0.9 - 1.7pts [2] - This morning, flows remained light with mainland China still on holiday [3] - GARUDA 31s rose 3.1 - 3.9pts, and LASUDE 26 was 2.9pts higher [3] - CHGDNU 48/EHICAR 26 were 0.9 - 2.1pts lower [3] - VEDLN 28 - 33s were 0.1 - 0.3pt lower [3] - IHFLIN 27 - 28 were 0.5 - 0.6pt lower after Moody's placed Sammaan Capital's B2 rating on review for upgrade [3] Top Performers and Underperformers | Security | Price | Change | | --- | --- | --- | | FAEACO 12.814 PERP | 56.7 | 14.7 | | HCELEC 4.65 12/29/26 | 67.9 | 1.4 | | EHICAR 7 09/21/26 | 81.3 | 1.1 | | GARUDA 6 1/2 12/28/31 | 88.8 | 0.9 | | CFAMCI 5 1/2 04/27/47 | 98.0 | 0.8 | | CCAMCL 4 3/4 12/04/37 | 93.3 | -1.7 | | TAIANH 6.9 07/16/28 | 94.3 | -1.7 | | VLLPM 9 3/8 07/29/29 | 49.5 | -1.0 | | FZSZJJ 7 12/27/27 | 99.3 | -0.9 | | TENCNT 3.68 04/22/41 | 85.1 | -0.9 | [4] Macro News Recap - On Tuesday, S&P (-0.38%), Dow (-0.20%), and Nasdaq (-0.67%) were lower [6] - The release of US Aug'25 trade balance was delayed due to the federal government shutdown [6] - 2/5yr UST yield was lower, while 10/30yr UST yield was higher on Tuesday [6] - 2/5/10/30 yield was at 3.57%/3.71%/4.14%/4.73% [6] Desk Analyst Comments - Vedanta Resources (VRL) priced USD500mn VEDLN 9.125 10/15/32 with an orderbook of over USD1.6bn [7] - Net proceeds are for prepaying the 18% private credit facility due Apr'26 [7] - Over 14 months, VRL has raised USD3.6bn in USD bonds, smoothing its maturity profile and lowering funding costs [7] - Analysts prefer VEDLN 9.475 07/24/30 for a better risk - adjusted profile [7] - The new VEDLN 32s trade in line with VEDLN 31s at 9.0% YTW [7] - VEDLN 9.475 07/24/30 trades at 102.2 with 8.8% YTW, offering 46bps pickup over NICAU 9 09/30/30 [7] VRL's Outstanding USD Bonds | Security name | ISIN | Amt o/s (USD mn) | Ask px | YTW | Issue rating (M/S/F) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | VEDLN 10.25 06/03/28 | USG9T27HAH76 | 300 | 103.7 | 7.8% | -/B/B+ | | VEDLN 10.875 09/17/29 | USG9T27HAG93 | 1,200 | 105.4 | 8.7% | -/B/- | | VEDLN 9.475 07/24/30 | USG9T27HAL88 | 550 | 102.2 | 8.8% | B2/B/- | | VEDLN 11.25 12/03/31 | USG9T27HAJ33 | 500 | 107.7 | 9.0% | -/B/B+ | | VEDLN 9.125 10/15/32 | USG9T27HAN45 | 500 | 100.3 | 9.0% | B2/-/B+ | | VEDLN 9.85 04/24/33 | USG9T27HAK06 | 550 | 102.5 | 9.1% | B2/B/- | [8] Offshore Asia New Issues Priced - Muthoot Finance (tap) issued 150mn USD, 5 - year bonds with a coupon of 101.75 and an issue rating of Ba1/BB+/- [11] Pipeline - There are no offshore Asia new issues in the pipeline today [12] News and Market Color - Onshore primary issuances are suspended during the National Day Holiday [19] - Macau logged over 1mn visitors in the first 7 days of Oct'25 Golden Week [19] - Adani Green inked a USD250mn loan from four global banks for refinancing [19] - Garuda Indonesia asked for a USD600 - 800mn injection from Danantara to maintain 51 aircraft [19] - GLP received interest from Middle East institutions for a strategic investment of about USD1bn [19] - LG Electronics India's USD1.3bn IPO sold out on the first day [19] - Canara Robeco AMC, ORIX's Indian JV, plans an IPO of INR13.3bn (about USD149.4mn) [19] - Sinopec is adding at least 169mn barrels of oil reserves [19] - San Miguel was fined for a'misstatement' in its 1H25 earnings report [19]