ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-10-08 09:00Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The non-bank financial industry is expected to maintain a prosperous performance, with life insurance new business value (NBV) average growth rate projected at 32.6% and net profit of the securities industry expected to grow by 62.8% year-on-year for Q3 2025 [1][5] Summary by Sections Life Insurance Sector - For Q3 2025, major listed insurance companies are expected to continue rapid growth in NBV, with an average growth rate of 32.6%. Specific growth rates include: New China Life (52.9%), China Pacific Insurance (29.5%), Ping An Insurance (26.2%), and China Life (21.8%) [2] - The growth drivers include differentiated performance in new business premiums, with most insurers expected to see an increase in new business value rates due to factors such as lower preset interest rates and the deepening of the "reporting and operation integration" in individual insurance channels [2] Property Insurance Sector - The comprehensive cost ratio (COR) for Chinese property insurance is expected to improve by 1.7 percentage points year-on-year to 96.5% for Q3 2025. This improvement is driven by a decrease in expense ratios and a reduction in claims ratios due to normal levels of natural disasters this year compared to the previous year [3] Investment Income - For Q3 2025, the overall investment income of insurance companies is expected to remain resilient, supported by significant stock market gains, with the Wind All A Index and Hong Kong Stock Connect Index rising by 19.5% and 14.8% respectively [4] Securities Industry - The securities industry is projected to see a revenue growth of 42.4% and a net profit growth of 62.8% year-on-year for Q3 2025, driven by increased market activity and significant growth in brokerage, investment, and credit businesses [5] - The average daily trading volume of A-shares is expected to reach 2.1 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 210%, with brokerage business net income expected to grow by 90.6% [5][6] - Equity investment income is anticipated to be a key driver of overall investment performance for brokerages, with investment business revenue expected to grow by 35% year-on-year [5] Credit Business - The average daily margin trading balance is projected to reach 2.1 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49%, with credit business net income expected to grow by 43.3% [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The non-bank sector has shown overall stagnation this year, with a notable correction in September. The report suggests selecting stocks with alpha and lower valuations within the sector, recommending specific stocks in securities, insurance, and diversified finance [8]