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锂电9月洞察:旺季需求上行,板块涨价渐显
SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-08 11:10

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1] Core Insights - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a seasonal demand increase, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rising by 20% in September [1][6] - In August, domestic wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.18 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22% and a month-on-month increase of 10% [1][4] - The report highlights the importance of solid-state battery technology and its potential breakthroughs in addressing interface issues, which are critical for commercialization [3][18] Summary by Sections Monthly Research Insights - The report discusses solutions to solid-solid interface issues in solid-state battery manufacturing, emphasizing the need for breakthroughs in physical, chemical, and mechanical dimensions [3][13] Industry Sentiment Tracking and Review - New energy vehicle sales in August showed strong growth, with China, Europe, and the US leading the market [4][22] - Domestic energy storage installations in August reached 12.6 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 58% [5][28] - The report forecasts a significant increase in lithium battery production in October, with year-on-year growth expected to be between 21% and 50% [5][34] Price and Volume Analysis - Lithium battery material prices are on the rise, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices increasing by 20% in September [6][35] - The report notes that the lithium battery supply chain is entering a replenishment phase, with inventory levels rising [39] New Technology Developments - Solid-state batteries and composite current collectors are entering a critical engineering and industrialization phase, with significant orders expected for 2025 [6][44] - The report identifies key investment opportunities in solid-state battery technology, particularly in dry processing and isostatic pressing equipment [18][21] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery sector and those involved in solid-state technology breakthroughs, such as CATL and EVE Energy [7][21]