Guoxin Securities·2025-10-08 14:36Core Insights - The report highlights resilient growth in travel demand during the National Day holiday, with a projected year-on-year increase of 6.2% in cross-regional mobility from October 1 to 8, 2024, surpassing the pre-holiday forecast of 3.2% [4][24] - The consumer services sector underperformed the broader market in September, with the A-share consumer services sector declining by 2.69%, lagging behind the CSI 300 by 5.89 percentage points [4][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support for service consumption, with various measures aimed at enhancing service sector growth and consumer spending [24][25] Subsector Insights Travel Chain Sector - The travel chain sector is expected to benefit from a shift towards experience-driven consumption, with a focus on hotel and retail experiences as the market enters a low season in Q4 [4][24] - Notable performance was observed in specific regions and segments, such as a 22% increase in visitor numbers to Changbai Mountain from October 1 to 3 and significant sales at duty-free stores in Sanya [4][24] - The report suggests monitoring the recovery of the duty-free sector and the hotel industry as supply and demand dynamics stabilize [4][24] Chain Dining Sector - The dining sector shows signs of stabilization, with leading brands in tea and fast food performing well despite concerns over the expansion capabilities of traditional dining models [4][24] - The report recommends focusing on high-quality dining leaders that have adjusted their business models to enhance growth potential [4][24] Education and Human Services Sector - The education sector is poised for growth as external uncertainties diminish, with increased demand for vocational training and educational services [4][24] - The report highlights the potential of AI in education, with ongoing advancements in educational technology expected to drive growth [4][24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a diversified investment strategy, recommending companies such as Trip.com, Atour, Tongcheng Travel, BOSS Zhipin, and others in the consumer services sector [4][24]