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激光聚变的发展前景及投资机会
Changjiang Securities·2025-10-08 14:48

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the laser fusion industry [5]. Core Insights - Laser fusion technology has shown significant advancements, particularly in achieving a higher fusion triple product compared to other methods, indicating its potential for self-sustaining fusion reactions [15][19]. - The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for laser fusion could potentially drop below $80/MWh, with optimal conditions suggesting a future target of $25/MWh [19]. - The report highlights the increasing interest and investment in laser fusion, with over 10 commercial companies pursuing this technology globally [58]. Summary by Sections Why Focus on Laser Fusion? - Laser fusion ranks first in the fusion triple product among various fusion technology routes, indicating its leading position in the field [15]. - The technology is transitioning from physical principle validation to engineering prototype development, with significant cost reduction potential if laser efficiency improves and target production costs decrease [19]. Investment Opportunities in Laser Fusion - More than 11 companies globally are focusing on laser fusion, with a notable emphasis on deuterium-tritium (DT) and hydrogen-boron (pB11) fuels [58]. - Inertia Enterprises aims for an energy gain greater than 18 to achieve energy balance in facilities, with higher targets for larger power plants [63]. - The main components of laser fusion systems include high-power pulsed lasers and energy systems that significantly influence performance [67][78]. Technological Developments - The report discusses the advancements in laser glass technology, which is crucial for laser devices, and highlights the progress made by Chinese institutions in this area [77]. - The "Shenguang-III" device is compared with the NIF, showcasing its capabilities and the ongoing improvements in laser technology [70]. Collaborations and Partnerships - Domestic research institutions are collaborating with listed companies to accelerate the commercialization of laser fusion technology, focusing on precision manufacturing and advanced laser components [85].