Group 1: Investment Ratings - The trend strength of ferrosilicon is -1, and that of silicomanganese is -1, indicating a weak outlook for both [3]. Group 2: Core Views - Ferrosilicon and silicomanganese are in a state of weak oscillation due to the game between fundamentals and macro - sentiment [1]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Fundamental Tracking Futures - Ferrosilicon 2511 closed at 5494, down 116 from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 192,219 and an open interest of 118,081. Ferrosilicon 2601 closed at 5468, down 108, with a trading volume of 76,428 and an open interest of 116,050. Silicomanganese 2511 closed at 5742, down 60, with a trading volume of 79,328 and an open interest of 35,681. Silicomanganese 2601 closed at 5758, down 62, with a trading volume of 176,364 and an open interest of 348,291 [1]. Spot - The price of ferrosilicon FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia was 5250 yuan/ton, down 50. The price of silicomanganese FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia was 5680 yuan/ton. The price of manganese ore Mn44 block was 40 yuan/ton - degree, and the price of semi - coke small material in Shenmu was 710 yuan/ton [1]. Spreads - The basis of ferrosilicon (spot - 11 futures) was - 244 yuan/ton, up 66. The basis of silicomanganese (spot - 01 futures) was - 78 yuan/ton, up 60. The near - far month spread of ferrosilicon 2511 - 2601 was 26 yuan/ton, down 8. The near - far month spread of silicomanganese 2511 - 2601 was - 16 yuan/ton, up 2. The cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2511 - ferrosilicon 2511 was 248 yuan/ton, up 56. The cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2601 - ferrosilicon 2601 was 290 yuan/ton, up 46 [1]. 2. Macro and Industry News - On September 30, the price range of 72 ferrosilicon in different regions was 5200 - 5400 yuan/ton, and that of 75 was 6000 - 6200 yuan/ton. The FOB price of 72 ferrosilicon was 1050 - 1070 dollars/ton, and that of 75 was 1120 - 1150 dollars/ton. The price range of 6517 silicomanganese in the north was 5650 - 5750 yuan/ton, and in the south was 5750 - 5800 yuan/ton [1]. - In September, the number of operating ferrosilicon enterprises in Ningxia was 13, with 43 operating submerged arc furnaces. The开工 rate was 48.86%, up 2.27% from August, and the output was expected to be 12.16 tons, down 0.3 tons from August, with a capacity utilization rate of 52.28%. Nationally, there were 76 operating ferrosilicon enterprises with 245 operating submerged arc furnaces in September. The total average开工 rate was 50.88%, down 1.86% from August, and the output was expected to be 47.88 tons, down 0.05 tons from August, up 1.27 tons from the same period last year, a year - on - year increase of 2.72%. The cumulative output from January to September 2025 was 410.7 tons, up 2.26 tons from the same period last year, an increase of 0.55% [1][3]. - In September, the output of silicomanganese in the northern main production areas decreased slightly. The total output of silicomanganese in Ningxia was about 20.7 tons, down 0.75 tons from August, and the output of 6517 was about 19.8 tons [3].
硅铁:基本面与宏观情绪博弈,弱势震荡,锰硅:基本面与宏观情绪博弈,弱势震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-10-09 01:45